Internal-Cowbell
0x0c1c44f38626dc0b7cdbe09bdd9d62987a709b07
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$490.99
Total PnL
$-7.5K
Realised
$-193.93
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
1200 shares @ 29.7¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$306.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
200 shares @ 77.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$184.99
$31.00
- CAVALIERS
Jazz vs. Cavaliers
1143 shares @ 84.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-968.00
- YES
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
1000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- TIMBERWOLVES
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves
550 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-434.50
- YES
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5
500 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-240.00
- MAPLE LEAFS
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs
450 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-211.50
- UNDER
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Robert Morris Colonials: O/U 149.5
420 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-210.00
- PATRIOTS
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
395 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$302.16Jun 17, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals$20.54Jun 17, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?$257.50May 2, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?$133.99May 2, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMHawks vs. Bucks$99.99Mar 18, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMKansas Jayhawks vs. Arizona Wildcats$132.66Mar 18, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Bucks$1.10Mar 5, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Bucks$25.95Mar 5, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Bucks$33.94Mar 5, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas Jayhawks vs. Arizona Wildcats$55.76Feb 28, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas Jayhawks vs. Arizona Wildcats$53.30Feb 28, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Timberwolves (-5.5)$181.79Feb 26, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Suns: O/U 206.5$380.00Feb 25, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?$84.00Feb 25, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Suns: O/U 206.5$186.20Feb 24, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawks$30.80Feb 23, 20:58 UTC
- REWARD$0.00Feb 23, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.18Feb 23, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.20Feb 22, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Timberwolves$959.72Feb 21, 07:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
25/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $70.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 11:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 07:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.