Cluttered-Combination
0x0c2015f3a92bf64392a3b0b0dca2fd3b19488a7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$24.14
Total PnL
$-6.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
24 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.14
$0.34
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $0.60 by February 28 2025?
217 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Sonic launch before 2025?
8 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$23.80May 31, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?$23.84May 31, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?$23.24Mar 4, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMTrump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? $13.33Jun 1, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? $12.00May 8, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?$8.21May 8, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?$13.68May 8, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?$13.00Apr 16, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLPepe ETF in 2025?$10.20Apr 16, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?$2.79Apr 16, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYPepe ETF in 2025?$10.00Feb 16, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada join US as 51st state before July?$10.01Feb 16, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?$7.85Feb 2, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.60 by February 28 2025?$5.00Feb 2, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLRainbow airdrop in Q1 2025?$5.71Feb 2, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?$7.14Feb 2, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?$2.43Jan 13, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow airdrop in Q1 2025?$5.00Jan 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?$1.00Jan 13, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLLitecoin ETF approved by July 31?$8.00Jan 13, 22:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $7.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 23:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 20:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.