Flimsy-Realm
0x0c265287a77df7b931efcc54415830184cb87232
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$5.88
Total PnL
$-14.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.88
$3.88
- YES
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
75 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
- YES
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Latvia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 20, 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
BitBoy convicted?
5 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <36% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.52Apr 14, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win <36% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$1.00Mar 19, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Mar 19, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$2.00Mar 19, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitBoy convicted?$1.00Mar 19, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$2.00Mar 19, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 20, 2026?$1.00Mar 19, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 19, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$1.00Mar 19, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)$1.00Mar 19, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.83Mar 19, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.00Mar 19, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.00Mar 19, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$1.00Mar 19, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Mar 19, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.83Mar 19, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.00Mar 19, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.00Mar 19, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.00Mar 19, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.08Mar 19, 21:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 21:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 15:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.