Strict-Ingredient
0x0c36b804d3a74e30f5b287a3ed494ef9ef83e15d
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$17.55
Total PnL
$-518.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
1671 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.55
$-7.52
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.5% or lower before 2027?
2005 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.25
- YES
Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 18 or later?
1000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 12?
837 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$25.81Jun 3, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$999.60Apr 17, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$21.77Mar 10, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$977.64Mar 10, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$42.06Dec 19, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?$9.25Dec 19, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?$31.86Dec 19, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$205.20Dec 16, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 16?$0.01Dec 10, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 16?$0.02Dec 10, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 16?$0.04Dec 10, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 17?$0.01Dec 10, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 16?$0.02Dec 10, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 17?$0.02Dec 10, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 17?$0.01Dec 10, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 16?$0.01Dec 10, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 17?$0.01Dec 10, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 17?$0.01Dec 10, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 16?$0.01Dec 10, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 16?$0.04Dec 10, 23:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $48.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 23:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 23:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".