Passionate-Bean
0x0c396da28031ff18cde6f88f9a72ef3dd598402d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-12.0K
Realised
$-954.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
2370 shares @ 87.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.3K
$285.58
- BEN SHELTON
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Shelton
12000 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.2K
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
9501 shares @ 53.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.1K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$24.52Jun 15, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$381.90Jun 9, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$50.00Jun 9, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by May 31?$308.00Jun 9, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$23.24May 18, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$530.70May 17, 21:01 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.98May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$10.32May 16, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$65.52May 16, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$174.48May 16, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$273.12May 16, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$4.02May 16, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$1.5KMay 16, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.5KMay 16, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$3.0KMay 15, 07:54 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.74May 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$283.36May 12, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$251.51May 12, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$219.38May 12, 07:44 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$21.87May 12, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $333.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 14:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.