Adept-Mare
0x0c3ecec19a02eb4c2d33d6754d882e2857550891
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$8.04
Total PnL
$0.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 59.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.79
$0.29
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.21
$-0.29
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.20May 25, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.61May 24, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.1KMay 23, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$49.94May 23, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$49.92May 23, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$2.00May 23, 16:03 UTC
- SPLITWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$3.00May 23, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$50.01May 23, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$50.02May 23, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.2KMay 23, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?$1.00May 23, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?$2.00May 23, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31?$1.00May 23, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Jurassic World: Rebirth" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60–69?$1.00May 23, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the top AI model on July 31?$2.00May 23, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Jurassic World: Rebirth" Rotten Tomatoes score be 80 or higher?$3.00May 23, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Jurassic World: Rebirth" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 40?$3.00May 23, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model on July 31?$2.00Jul 2, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31?$1.00Jul 2, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Jurassic World: Rebirth" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60–69?$1.00Jul 2, 14:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $162.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 12:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.