Bumpy-Lid
0x0c408a1b0ba270997ffad5b6f75aac1b7c078ef9
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$14.50
Total PnL
$-468.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12?
14 shares @ 26.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$14.49
$10.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12?
33 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.02
$-2.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 11?
414 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-19.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on May 27?
79 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 27?
62 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 24?
61 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-11.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 10?
57 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-14.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 24?
54 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-13.98
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?
51 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on May 25?
50 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.68
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 11?$7.93Jun 12, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11?$2.93Jun 12, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 11?$107.73Jun 11, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 11?$0.55Jun 11, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?$1.05Jun 11, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11?$1.01Jun 11, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?$1.05Jun 11, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?$1.04Jun 11, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?$1.03Jun 11, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?$1.03Jun 11, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?$1.03Jun 11, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?$1.30Jun 11, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11?$1.02Jun 11, 16:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 11?$2.44Jun 11, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 11?$7.17Jun 11, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11?$2.75Jun 11, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11?$1.02Jun 11, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11?$1.02Jun 11, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 11?$3.30Jun 11, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 11?$1.00Jun 11, 14:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 08:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 08:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.