Thoughtful-Stepson
0x0c46c858146252873c8fe2995cdbcdcd2dd486c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$98.70
Total PnL
$-178.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 1?
99 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$98.70
$2.27
- YES
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026?
158 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 25?
157 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- YES
Will "Fall" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
155 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 25?
138 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on March 3?
117 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
115 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.52
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 28?
113 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 14?
113 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 28?
103 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 1?$96.43May 31, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 30?$92.53May 31, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 30?$90.49May 30, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 25?$1.76May 24, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 23?$2.39May 22, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 17?$90.93May 22, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 17?$89.74May 16, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?$112.13May 16, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?$109.55May 10, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 28?$22.28May 10, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 28?$19.54Apr 27, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 11?$88.32Apr 27, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 22?$2.62Apr 21, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$0.00Apr 18, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 15?$1.54Apr 15, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 14?$1.70Apr 13, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 11?$87.08Apr 11, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on March 31?$109.13Apr 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on March 31?$107.71Mar 31, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on February 1?$0.00Mar 31, 14:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $33.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 22:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 17:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.