0x0c525435fa109a717f19dc069311baf73e982a79
0x0c525435fa109a717f19dc069311baf73e982a79
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$3.78
Total PnL
$-131.38
Realised
$12.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $8B and $9B at market close on IPO day?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.00
$2.01
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 0.5¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.14
$0.13
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 0.5¢·now 12.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.13
$0.12
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 0.5¢·now 9.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 0.5¢·now 9.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.09
$0.08
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 0.5¢·now 5.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.05
$0.04
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 0.5¢·now 2.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.03
$0.02
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 0.5¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 0.5¢·now 1.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.02
$0.01
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 0.5¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Feb 7, 18:52 UTC
- MERGEWill Stubhub’s market cap be between $8B and $9B at market close on IPO day?$30.00Feb 7, 18:52 UTC
- MERGEWill Stubhub’s market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?$30.00Feb 7, 18:52 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jan 5, 22:42 UTC
- CONVERSIONPresidential Election Winner 2028$0.00Jan 5, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jan 5, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYPatriots vs. Buccaneers$3.00Nov 9, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPatriots vs. Buccaneers$1.00Nov 9, 18:53 UTC
- REWARD$3.47Sep 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stubhub’s market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?$19.80Sep 17, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stubhub’s market cap be between $8B and $9B at market close on IPO day?$10.89Sep 17, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUY"Gabby’s Dollhouse" grosses higher than "One Battle After Another" opening weekend?$5.00Sep 17, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stubhub’s market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day?$5.10Sep 17, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stubhub’s market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?$2.50Sep 17, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stubhub’s market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?$5.00Sep 17, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stubhub’s market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?$13.00Sep 17, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stubhub’s market cap be between $8B and $9B at market close on IPO day?$19.20Sep 17, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stubhub’s market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?$6.60Sep 17, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stubhub’s market cap be between $11B and $12B at market close on IPO day?$77.63Sep 17, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stubhub’s market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?$2.90Sep 17, 14:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $11.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 14:50 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 18:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.