Vivid-Communist
0x0c5290f43ca4bfd00c89aa55ce171ae8e4143115
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will George W. Bush endorse Kamala Harris?
1564 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-67.65
- YES
Will Kamala do another Fox News interview before election?
1067 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?
745 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
712 shares @ 67.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-482.85
- YES
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?
637 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-27.65
- YES
Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?
608 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-230.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
379 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2024$0.00
$-174.26
- NO
Will a Republican win Louisiana Presidential Election?
357 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214
328 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+
317 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?$17.65Dec 18, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$17.64Dec 18, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k today?$174.26Nov 22, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPavel Durov leaves France in 2024?$30.00Nov 22, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?$204.26Nov 22, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George W. Bush endorse Kamala Harris?$1.05Nov 4, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win?$0.00Nov 2, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMIran military response before October?$0.00Nov 2, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "weird" during her North Carolina rally?$0.00Nov 2, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Springfield" during his Nevada rally?$0.00Nov 2, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "unrealized" during her North Carolina rally?$0.00Nov 2, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hamas" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?$0.00Nov 2, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Nevada rally?$0.00Nov 2, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Uniondale rally?$0.00Nov 2, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli forces enters Lebanon in September?$0.00Nov 2, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by November 7?$0.00Nov 2, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "convicted felon" during her North Carolina rally?$0.00Nov 2, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "border" 20 or more times during North Carolina town hall?$0.00Nov 2, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "border" 30 or more times during his Michigan town hall?$0.00Nov 2, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWalz and Vance debate on Oct 1?$0.00Nov 2, 09:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $52.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 25, 15:02 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 18, 07:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.