Total-Failure
0x0c55ef6531a5b5d01056aceb7833a517eec73408
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-49.02
Realised
$46.56
Win rate
60%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
556 shares @ 69.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$286.12
$-97.22
- YES
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?
389 shares @ 45.1¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$204.27
$28.92
- YES
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?
137 shares @ 71.5¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$115.42
$17.11
- NO
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
220 shares @ 35.8¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$106.70
$28.05
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
110 shares @ 95.4¢·now 92.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$102.14
$-2.80
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?
108 shares @ 88.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$89.92
$-5.42
- NO
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?
159 shares @ 70.2¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$75.52
$-36.09
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
79 shares @ 52.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$49.99
$9.05
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
55 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.10
$0.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
55 shares @ 72.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$40.42
$0.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$45.10Jun 23, 15:25 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.23Jun 23, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$39.60Jun 23, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?$3.69Jun 23, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?$2.52Jun 23, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?$2.52Jun 23, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?$2.52Jun 23, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?$2.52Jun 23, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer officially leave office by July 17?$13.23Jun 23, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$25.94Jun 23, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$24.51Jun 23, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$20.70Jun 23, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$22.26Jun 23, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer officially leave office by July 17?$1.00Jun 23, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer officially leave office by July 17?$1.00Jun 23, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer officially leave office by July 17?$1.00Jun 23, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer officially leave office by July 17?$1.00Jun 23, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer officially leave office by July 17?$1.00Jun 23, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer officially leave office by July 17?$1.00Jun 23, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$20.70Jun 23, 12:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $11.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 12:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 15:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.