Impossible-Banana
0x0c5b3be5048da15dbb7ea829c317804ffc446354
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-407.52
Realised
$97.40
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?
6471 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-398.69
- YES
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-28?
2300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- BILIBILI GAMING
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
1420 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-18.85
- INVICTUS GAMING
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner
893 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-33.14
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?
741 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-22.97
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?
331 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-22.87
- INVICTUS GAMING
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
109 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- INVICTUS GAMING
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Liechtenstein win on 2025-11-15?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Georgia win on 2025-11-15?
44 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.40Jun 30, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?$0.63Jun 29, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?$7.69Jun 29, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?$93.97Jun 29, 06:48 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.91Jun 29, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?$5.26Jun 28, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?$25.29Jun 28, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?$79.71Jun 28, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?$13.57Jun 28, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?$140.43Jun 28, 06:27 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.57Jun 28, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?$186.57Jun 27, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?$11.50Jun 27, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?$3.74Jun 27, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?$40.00Jun 27, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?$100.00Jun 27, 07:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$60.28Jun 14, 17:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$82.10Jun 13, 08:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $39.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 18:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.