Icky-Update
0x0c5c39f7535cb51ab484abf4a0128e6def4d2d3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$5.03
Total PnL
$0.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11AM ET$5.00Jul 1, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$64.00Jul 1, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$13.00Jun 26, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$10.97Jun 19, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$63.94Jun 19, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?$209.00Jun 4, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?$208.60May 21, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$77.00May 14, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$76.85May 3, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of March?$48.60Apr 5, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of March?$48.55Mar 24, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?$49.90Mar 15, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?$49.85Mar 4, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artemis II launch by February 28?$37.80Mar 4, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artemis II launch by February 28?$31.16Feb 11, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artemis II launch by February 28?$6.45Feb 11, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artemis II launch by February 7?$22.00Feb 9, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?$190.00Feb 6, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?$189.81Feb 3, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artemis II launch by February 7?$21.89Feb 3, 07:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $53.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 03:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 15:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.