Lazy-Password
0x0c60d143ce3c18e40404ce6bfae4f76c7dd32df8
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$9.84
Total PnL
$-81.89
Realised
$-1.55
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-12?
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$4.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?
12 shares @ 41.2¢·now 40.4¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$4.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?
58 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
50 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.49
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
47 shares @ 63.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill CA River Plate win on 2026-08-12?$5.15Aug 10, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?$5.15Aug 10, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win on 2026-07-03?$5.13Jul 3, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-07-02?$1.03Jun 28, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?$1.03Jun 28, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-25?$5.12Jun 25, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$30.33Jun 25, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$19.61Jun 25, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$10.15Jun 24, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$30.45Jun 24, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$67.10Jun 24, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$35.34Jun 23, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$10.27Jun 22, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$10.11Jun 22, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$5.11Jun 22, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$61.75Jun 22, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$20.00Jun 20, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$17.09Jun 20, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$22.24Jun 20, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$39.32Jun 20, 05:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $10.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 12:08 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 15:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.