Unfolded-Questioner
0x0c61e8731246470ce2e9b64c381a53223754e005
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$7.75
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$596.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
298 shares @ 10.1¢·now 2.6¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$7.75
$-22.25
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
8151 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-123.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 20?
5459 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-298.21
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
2200 shares @ 35.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-775.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 21?
1554 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-93.23
- YES
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?
1203 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-143.92
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
686 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-253.00
- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
629 shares @ 41.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-259.61
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 15?
531 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-13.95
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
441 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$267.24Jul 19, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$302.88Jun 21, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$242.30Jun 21, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$51.14Jun 18, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$281.69Jun 18, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$201.74Jun 18, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?$340.45Jun 17, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Predecessor" during June Press Conference?$5.04Jun 17, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?$102.90Jun 17, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$330.36Jun 17, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria win on 2026-06-17?$416.67Jun 17, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$441.18Jun 17, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-17?$302.52Jun 16, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$302.88Jun 16, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Senegal: Neither team to score first?$0.00Jun 16, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-16?$617.28Jun 16, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$502.85Jun 16, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Senegal: Neither team to score first?$204.80Jun 16, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$720.95Jun 16, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$775.00May 25, 20:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $222.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 14:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 14:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.