Wallet profile

Optimal-Swath

0x0c65840880163c0fd8b4bb4696077be3b4dad60d

activity 89/100

Wallet digest

whale

Activity score

89/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

83

Open notional

$129.5K

Total PnL

$-5.9K

Realised

$-849.58

Win rate

56%

9 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 83

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$7.3K

Trades

1

Buy share

0%

Window

Jul 5, 07:30 UTC → Jul 5, 07:23 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $7.3K

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

24/100
read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

Thin resolved sample

Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.

PnL is mostly mark-to-market

Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.

Elevated mirror risk

Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

56% win rate over 9 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

14/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

50 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.

Resolved-only track record
review

9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$7.3K

1 trades

Buy share

0%

Sample

low

1 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$7.3K · 100% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?100% of recorded volume$7.3K

Profile dimensions

Activity73 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence30 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry13 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk53 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
50
Avg trade size
$10.84
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 22, 04:55 UTC
Last active
Jul 22, 09:38 UTC
Win rate sample
9 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 09:40:21 UTC·src:Polymarket Data