Hefty-Fallacy-Blade
0x0c73d8abc3cd918bc62d0204e33ee05c3f5a68e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-13.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- INDIA
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan
3290 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$2.9K
$16.45
- UNDER
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5
10420 shares @ 96.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.0K
- UNDER
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5
3300 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$2.3KJun 20, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan$892.00Jun 20, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan$2.0KJun 20, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$2.1KJun 20, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$4.3KJun 20, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$1.32Jun 20, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$692.90Jun 20, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$2.8KJun 20, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$1.1KJun 20, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$0.90Jun 20, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$180.00Jun 20, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$978.52Jun 20, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$50.56Jun 20, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$101.11Jun 20, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$15.17Jun 20, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$1.2KJun 20, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$910.00Jun 20, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$1.60Jun 20, 03:04 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.95Jun 20, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMScotland vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5$7.3KJun 20, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$45.0K
Trades
6
Buy share
22%
Window
Jun 11, 07:00 UTC → Jun 16, 23:44 UTC
- SELLIraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5$6.3K@100¢Jun 16, 23:44 UTC
- BUYIraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5$5.0K@80¢Jun 16, 23:14 UTC
- SELLWill Norway win on 2026-06-16?$5.4K@87¢Jun 16, 22:53 UTC
- SELLFrance vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5$12.5K@100¢Jun 16, 21:04 UTC
- SELLFrance vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5$10.7K@100¢Jun 16, 21:04 UTC
- BUYODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia$5.1K@88¢Jun 11, 06:57 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$39.9K
5 trades
30d volume
$45.0K
6 trades
Buy share
22%
Sample
limited
6 ledger trades
Top market concentration
France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5
$12.5K · 28% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $718.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 20:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 05:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.