Plain-Bibliography
0x0c7f0327ca81d86522fa893dbf6daa208c9eafca
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.7K
Realised
$-18.83
Win rate
0%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 10PM ET
1218 shares @ 96.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 10AM ET
1108 shares @ 97.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1PM ET
695 shares @ 96.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-668.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9AM ET
688 shares @ 98.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-678.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
654 shares @ 98.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-642.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9PM ET
562 shares @ 98.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-552.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
535 shares @ 97.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-522.23
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10AM ET
492 shares @ 96.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-475.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9PM ET
467 shares @ 96.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-452.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
463 shares @ 96.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-445.39
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$675.81Aug 17, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$15.67Aug 17, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$15.41Aug 17, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$15.72Aug 17, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$15.72Aug 17, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$16.54Aug 17, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$16.54Aug 17, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$16.54Aug 17, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$16.54Aug 17, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$16.54Aug 17, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$17.42Aug 17, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$17.42Aug 17, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$17.42Aug 17, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$17.42Aug 17, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$17.77Aug 17, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$17.77Aug 17, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$17.77Aug 17, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$18.31Aug 17, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$18.31Aug 17, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$18.31Aug 17, 17:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 44 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
44 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $18.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 16:51 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 18:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.