Wallet digest

active

Activity score

30/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

200

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-5.7K

Realised

$-2.7K

Win rate

185 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 200

DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
30 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025
$0.00
$-14.70
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
30 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025
$0.00
$-14.70
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
30 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025
$0.00
$-14.70
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
30 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025
$0.00
$-14.70
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
30 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025
$0.00
$-14.70
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
30 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025
$0.00
$-14.70
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
30 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025
$0.00
$-14.70
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
30 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025
$0.00
$-14.70
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
30 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025
$0.00
$-14.70
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
30 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025
$0.00
$-14.70

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$30.00Dec 28, 04:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$14.70Dec 28, 03:40 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$30.00Dec 27, 12:18 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$14.70Dec 27, 12:02 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$30.00Dec 27, 11:48 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$30.00Dec 27, 11:18 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$30.00Dec 27, 11:18 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$30.00Dec 27, 11:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$14.70Dec 27, 10:55 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$30.00Dec 27, 10:48 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$30.00Dec 27, 10:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$14.70Dec 27, 10:37 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$30.00Dec 27, 10:33 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$30.00Dec 27, 10:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$14.70Dec 27, 10:31 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$14.70Dec 27, 10:30 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$13.73Dec 27, 10:29 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$14.70Dec 27, 10:25 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.96Dec 27, 10:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$14.70Dec 27, 10:20 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity39 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry100 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk28 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 34
Avg trade size: $9.87
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 27, 09:30 UTC
Last active: Dec 28, 04:03 UTC
Win rate sample: 185 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 08:10:19 UTC·src:Polymarket Data