0x0c9b3ccb81dd887fb66374d8b859d7d403cde768
0x0c9b3ccb81dd887fb66374d8b859d7d403cde768
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$26.50
Total PnL
$-500.45
Realised
$1.5K
Win rate
12%
170 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
19 shares @ 30.0¢·now 46.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.88
$3.18
- YES
Will Jack Grealish join Brighton?
13 shares @ 40.9¢·now 15.6¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$2.02
$-3.27
- YES
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by December 31?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.85
$-2.05
- YES
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?
5 shares @ 23.9¢·now 30.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.60
$0.35
- YES
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.55
$-1.50
- YES
Will Emiliano Martinez join Al-Hilal?
50 shares @ 45.0¢·now 2.7¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$1.35
$-21.15
- YES
Will Charles Melton – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?
5 shares @ 18.9¢·now 24.4¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$1.22
$0.28
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat?
5 shares @ 26.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$1.18
$-0.07
- YES
Will Lauren Weedman – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?
24 shares @ 32.9¢·now 4.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$0.96
$-6.94
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-05 House seat?
9 shares @ 14.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.66
$-0.58
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.3KAug 7, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?$0.67Aug 2, 17:13 UTC
- MERGELoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner$1.9KAug 1, 20:15 UTC
- SPLITLoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner$1.9KAug 1, 20:15 UTC
- MERGELoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner$1.00Aug 1, 20:15 UTC
- SPLITLoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner$1.00Aug 1, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?$0.61Aug 1, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?$31.09Aug 1, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMOver $1.25M committed to the TownSquare public sale?$0.80Aug 1, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?$0.88Aug 1, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$0.89Aug 1, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?$2.04Aug 1, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?$2.06Aug 1, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?$2.74Aug 1, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLOutstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?$2.76Aug 1, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?$2.85Aug 1, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?$3.00Aug 1, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?$3.11Aug 1, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?$3.22Aug 1, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?$2.84Aug 1, 20:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
12% win rate over 170 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
170 closed markets, 12% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $7.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 19:53 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 20:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 170 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.