0x0c9daee0ed94f324779feaa4b6df98bfbc90abb6
0x0c9daee0ed94f324779feaa4b6df98bfbc90abb6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-45.80
Realised
$-5.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 52°F or higher on May 21?
711 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-11.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 12?
474 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-11.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 48-49°F on May 12?
410 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 47°F or below on May 12?
386 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on May 11?
224 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on May 12?
219 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 11?
208 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 11?
131 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 11?
131 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 11?
110 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 22?$0.24May 22, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 22?$1.60May 22, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 22?$3.42May 21, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 22?$2.18May 21, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on May 22?$1.45May 21, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on May 22?$0.40May 21, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 52°F or higher on May 21?$1.58May 21, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be 52°F or higher on May 21?$1.49May 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on May 22?$2.09May 21, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 22?$2.10May 21, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on May 22?$2.09May 21, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 22?$2.09May 21, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on May 22?$2.10May 20, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 22?$2.10May 20, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on May 22?$2.09May 20, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 22?$2.09May 20, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on May 22?$0.49May 20, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 22?$1.33May 20, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be 52°F or higher on May 21?$5.82May 20, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on May 22?$1.66May 20, 22:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 06:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 17:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.