Wallet digest

active

Activity score

53/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-75.92

Realised

$67.54

Win rate

58%

19 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 21

YES
Will Hugh Grant win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy?
80 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2025
$0.00
$-48.80
YES
Will Angelina Jolie win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama?
43 shares @ 56.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2025
$0.00
$-24.10
YES
Will Jesse Eisenberg win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy?
40 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2025
$0.00
$-8.40
NO
Will Fernanda Torres win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama?
40 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2025
$0.00
$-8.40
YES
Will 'Conclave' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?
40 shares @ 62.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2025
$0.00
$-25.12
YES
Will 'A Real Pain' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay?
40 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2025
$0.00
$-4.72
NO
Will Sebastian Stan win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy?
40 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2025
$0.00
$-4.80
YES
Will 'The Brutalist' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2025
$0.00
$-4.00
YES
Will 'The Wild Robot' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?
40 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2025
$0.00
$-2.20
YES
Will the SPD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?
40 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025
$0.00
$-2.43

Recent activity

REDEEMWill the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Feb 27, 03:30 UTC
REDEEMWill Tilda Swinton win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama?$0.00Feb 27, 03:30 UTC
REDEEMWill 'Anora' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay?$0.00Feb 27, 03:30 UTC
REDEEMWill Tilda Swinton win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama?$0.00Feb 27, 03:26 UTC
REDEEMWill the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Feb 27, 03:26 UTC
REDEEMWill 'Anora' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay?$0.00Feb 27, 03:26 UTC
TRADESELLWill the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$6.51Feb 5, 20:39 UTC
TRADESELLWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$33.20Feb 5, 20:21 UTC
TRADESELLWill the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?$0.45Feb 5, 18:27 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?$0.37Feb 5, 17:00 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$32.80Feb 5, 16:36 UTC
TRADESELLWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$7.20Feb 5, 16:33 UTC
TRADESELLWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$26.03Feb 5, 16:25 UTC
TRADESELLWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$2.80Feb 5, 16:00 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$7.20Feb 5, 15:41 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$22.80Feb 5, 15:35 UTC
TRADESELLWill the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$30.80Feb 5, 14:43 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$2.40Feb 5, 08:31 UTC
TRADESELLWill the SPD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$3.20Feb 5, 05:17 UTC
TRADESELLWill the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?$0.86Feb 5, 01:15 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence63 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry24 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk39 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 44
Avg trade size: $14.11
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 3, 15:08 UTC
Last active: Feb 27, 03:30 UTC
Win rate sample: 19 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 10:30:31 UTC·src:Polymarket Data