Quarrelsome-Stool
0x0ca116849796c39e72df4929e536402f75de2f58
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
135
Open notional
$307.27
Total PnL
$-71.99
Realised
$-18.35
Win rate
59%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 135- YES
Paraguay leading at halftime?
39 shares @ 5.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$38.80
$36.86
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$21.56
$19.62
- YES
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?
12 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.19
$10.24
- MOROCCO
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
9 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.38
$7.41
- MATIAS SOTO
Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto
20 shares @ 39.4¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$9.16
$1.31
- NO
Germany leading at halftime?
8 shares @ 48.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$8.11
$4.18
- MWENDWA MBITHI
Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto
14 shares @ 56.1¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$7.59
$-0.29
- YES
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.50
$5.55
- FRANCESCO PASSARO
Milan: Daniel Michalski vs Francesco Passaro
6 shares @ 60.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$6.27
$2.48
- MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
6 shares @ 32.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$6.06
$4.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWimbledon WTA: Talia Gibson vs Marie Bouzkova$2.00Jun 30, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon WTA: Kayla Day vs Madison Keys$2.00Jun 30, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Harry Wendelken$2.00Jun 30, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard$2.00Jun 30, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery$2.00Jun 30, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jaime Faria$2.00Jun 30, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon WTA: Tereza Valentova vs Karolina Pliskova$1.99Jun 30, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilan: Francisco Comesana vs Matthew William Donald$2.00Jun 30, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swan$1.99Jun 30, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrasov: Radu Albot vs Zsombor Piros$1.99Jun 30, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon WTA: Petra Marcinko vs Sofia Kenin$1.99Jun 30, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Adrian Mannarino vs Titouan Droguet$1.99Jun 30, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jaime Faria$1.99Jun 30, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Clara Tauson$1.99Jun 30, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon WTA: Katie Boulter vs Tyra Caterina Grant$1.99Jun 30, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilan: Niels McDonald vs Juan Martin$2.00Jun 30, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic$1.40Jun 30, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTroyes: Lorenzo Giustino vs Svyatoslav Gulin$1.95Jun 30, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTroyes: Lorenzo Giustino vs Svyatoslav Gulin$2.00Jun 30, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrasov: Lautaro Midon vs Stefan Haita$1.89Jun 30, 09:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
59% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 02:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 11:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.