Wallet digest

active

Activity score

39/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-3.0K

Realised

$-44.21

Win rate

22%

9 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 84

YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
456 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
245 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026
$0.00
$-49.67
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
186 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026
$0.00
$-59.29
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
136 shares @ 57.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026
$0.00
$-78.81
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
134 shares @ 36.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026
$0.00
$-49.32
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
133 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026
$0.00
$-49.32
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
133 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026
$0.00
$-49.32
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
122 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026
$0.00
$-59.06
UP
Solana Up or Down - January 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
121 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026
$0.00
$-49.27
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
120 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026
$0.00
$-49.27

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$48.48Mar 20, 10:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$30.00Mar 20, 10:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$30.00Mar 20, 10:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$30.00Mar 20, 09:51 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$14.77Mar 20, 09:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$30.00Mar 20, 09:40 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Mar 19, 12:44 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$49.42Mar 19, 12:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$30.00Mar 19, 12:40 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$0.00Mar 19, 11:22 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$0.00Mar 19, 11:22 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$48.48Mar 19, 11:22 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$30.00Mar 19, 11:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$30.00Mar 19, 11:14 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$50.10Mar 19, 10:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$30.00Mar 19, 10:15 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$16.80Mar 19, 10:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$30.00Mar 19, 10:10 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$23.09Mar 19, 09:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$28.40Mar 19, 09:15 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity39 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence30 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry87 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk52 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 36
Avg trade size: $27.97
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 16, 10:20 UTC
Last active: Mar 20, 10:54 UTC
Win rate sample: 9 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 04:18:23 UTC·src:Polymarket Data