Accurate-Debtor
0x0cabbf3016a3f59ce6410371cee04fec10f2b256
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
79
Open notional
$0.69
Total PnL
$-361.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- YES
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.69
$-0.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
2001 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.01
- YES
ETHGAS FDV above $700M one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
ETHGAS FDV above $500M one day after launch?
974 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-13.23
- YES
ETHGAS FDV above $1B one day after launch?
882 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 26?
778 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
623 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-34.88
- YES
ETHGAS FDV above $900M one day after launch?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
483 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$2.99Jun 14, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?$5.12Jun 13, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?$5.11Jun 13, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$5.12Jun 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$5.15Jun 13, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?$0.20Apr 25, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$1.00Mar 15, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.00Mar 15, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$3.00Mar 15, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$4.84Mar 15, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$1.00Jan 24, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.29Jan 24, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.00Jan 23, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.00Jan 23, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.00Jan 23, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.00Jan 23, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$10.00Jan 23, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$10.01Jan 23, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $700M one day after launch?$2.00Jan 22, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 22, 16:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 20:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.