Descriptive-Rate
0x0caceedd17e19f928646897dec240c1ee3513380
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$21.19
Total PnL
$-1.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
17 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.08
$0.08
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 1?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$1.83
$0.01
- YES
Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
1 shares @ 92.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on March 1?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in August?
20 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 1?$1.82Feb 28, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on March 1?$1.00Feb 28, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Feb 28, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?$1.00Feb 28, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$1.10Feb 28, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$1.15Feb 28, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$2.04Feb 28, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$2.00Jan 20, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$1.00Jan 20, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$15.00Jan 20, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$1.00Jan 20, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$1.00Jan 20, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?$1.09Jan 20, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.12Jan 20, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$5.01Jan 20, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$11.65Jan 20, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$5.00Dec 17, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir dip to $141 in November?$1.02Dec 17, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$1.47Dec 17, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$3.16Dec 17, 12:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $2.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 06:05 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 13:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.