Angelic-Candle
0x0cb142f2c17fefe0ad71916eea38239b5d52a933
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$11.33
Total PnL
$-3.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Lily Phillips breaks record for sex in one day?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$1.49
$0.49
- NO
Adin Ross unbanned from Twitch before 2025?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.22
$0.22
- NO
Solana above $240 on December 13?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2024$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Luigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2024$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Megaquake in December?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
1 shares @ 95.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024?
1 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMegaquake in December?$1.00Dec 10, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLily Phillips breaks record for sex in one day?$1.00Dec 10, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $240 on December 13?$1.00Dec 10, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?$1.00Dec 10, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $4,000 on December 13?$1.00Dec 10, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKari Lake appointed ambassador to Mexico?$1.00Dec 10, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYAdin Ross unbanned from Twitch before 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYLuigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?$1.00Dec 10, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?$1.00Dec 10, 19:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,500 on December 6?$0.00Dec 10, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?$0.00Dec 10, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$0.00Dec 10, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,500 on December 6?$0.00Dec 10, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?$0.00Dec 10, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$0.00Dec 10, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,500 on December 6?$1.02Dec 10, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?$1.82Dec 10, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$5.56Dec 10, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$0.00Dec 5, 12:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 23:33 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 19:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.