Wonderful-Mangrove
0x0cb94ce1da52abdab38e1ba7f7c526f8a4c95841
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$33.48
Total PnL
$-207.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
[Single Market] Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$22.73
$2.73
- NO
[Single Market] Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2024$10.75
$0.75
- NO
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?
288 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the New Hampshire Republican Primary?
238 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2023 Women's World Cup?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2023$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023?
81 shares @ 51.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-42.06
- NO
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher)
70 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-12.50
- NO
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?
68 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-6.16
- NO
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
50 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023?
30 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2023$0.00
$-10.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$10.00Jan 16, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley win the New Hampshire Republican Primary?$50.00Jan 16, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?$100.00Jan 16, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?$7.94Dec 20, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?$0.73Dec 20, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?$16.50Dec 20, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?$16.50Dec 20, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?$22.80Dec 18, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?$14.00Dec 1, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?$14.00Dec 1, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023?$0.92Nov 10, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?$4.00Nov 10, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?$5.04Nov 9, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?$2.70Nov 9, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?$4.20Nov 9, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?$10.00Nov 1, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?$0.06Oct 31, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?$2.16Oct 17, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting?$2.00Oct 17, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting?$20.74Oct 17, 02:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $8.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 03:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 15:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".