Flamboyant-Authority
0x0cc789e5e75cd066f9bd72d0f63cb3d88bcb7349
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.88
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-27.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.88
$-19.12
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
41333 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-161.94
- YES
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-01?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7692 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-199.99
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
6091 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-89.99
- YES
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
3940 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-41.00
- YES
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?
2649 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
2349 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-144.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
2212 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
1429 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$52.00Jul 19, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$26.28Jul 19, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?$104.50Jul 19, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?$104.60Jul 19, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$31.32Jul 19, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$52.00Jul 19, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5$50.00Jul 19, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$20.00Jul 18, 10:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.3KJul 16, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$596.95Jul 16, 18:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 8, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $228.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 18:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.