Ajar-Mandolin
0x0cce4a27af01b7ac6f94c9d2cbab036bbdeb178f
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$7.28
Total PnL
$-73.24
Realised
$-0.92
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 9.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.16
$0.08
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.16
$0.04
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.12
$-0.01
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.03
$-0.05
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 8.5¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.02
$-0.08
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.96
$-0.14
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 9.4¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.82
$-0.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 11?
255 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 7?
150 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 31?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.11Jun 9, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.13Jun 9, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.13Jun 9, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.15Jun 9, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.16Jun 9, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 7?$0.14Jun 7, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 7?$0.28Jun 7, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 7?$0.37Jun 7, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 7?$1.15Jun 7, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 7?$0.10Jun 7, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 7?$0.17Jun 7, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 7?$1.13Jun 7, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 8?$0.16Jun 7, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 8?$0.10Jun 7, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 8?$0.12Jun 7, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 8?$0.75Jun 7, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 8?$0.15Jun 7, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 8?$0.15Jun 7, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 8?$0.90Jun 7, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 8?$0.15Jun 7, 03:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 16:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 07:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.