Yellowish-Clover-Density
0x0ccfd60c6c345105553746ce78a1894982b6e9d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$29.91
Total PnL
$-28.33
Realised
$0.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$5.26
$0.09
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in August 2026?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.92
$0.21
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 79.2¢·now 76.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.85
$-0.15
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.78
$-0.22
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in July 2026?
3 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by July 31?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
25 shares @ 98.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$1.00Jul 27, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$3.43Jul 27, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$8.18Jul 27, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$5.05Jul 27, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$5.05Jul 27, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$4.99Jul 27, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$4.98Jul 26, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$4.96Jul 26, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$5.01Jul 26, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$8.01Jul 26, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$15.01Jul 26, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$9.01Jul 26, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in August 2026?$5.00Jul 25, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$20.33Jul 25, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$15.00Jul 25, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$4.81Jul 25, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$6.96Jul 25, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$20.02Jul 25, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$4.72Jul 25, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$2.00Jul 25, 06:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $6.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 13:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 20:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.