Fickle-Fitness
0x0cd70cbe3fe46ae99fe526df8661a7f30f0bde4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$5.03
Total PnL
$-14.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?$1.00Jan 15, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Jan 15, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $60 in December?$1.01Jan 15, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tom Zhu be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?$1.01Jan 15, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.01Jan 15, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.60 in December?$1.01Jan 15, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.01Jan 15, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.00Jan 6, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 26, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$2.50Dec 12, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.00Dec 12, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$235.50Dec 12, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$500.00Dec 12, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$125.00Dec 12, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$125.00Dec 12, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$500.00Dec 12, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$250.00Dec 12, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$250.00Dec 12, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$500.00Dec 12, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$250.00Dec 12, 05:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $124.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 07:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 07:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.