Pessimistic-Secretariat
0x0ce20da3bccc6110897f676c0a80ed44cf52ce8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$5.81
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$5.00
$0.02
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 15.3¢·now 16.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.81
$0.05
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
5130 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.6K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 24?
10 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$0.00Jun 9, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$0.00Jun 9, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$4.98Jun 9, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$5.00Jun 9, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$4.98May 27, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMBrazzaville: Calvin Hemery vs Ivan Marrero$5.00May 27, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazzaville: Calvin Hemery vs Ivan Marrero$0.72May 9, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazzaville: Calvin Hemery vs Ivan Marrero$3.68May 9, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-04-29?$5.00May 9, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.77Apr 29, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-04-29?$4.40Apr 29, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.24Apr 29, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 24?$3.23Feb 23, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.18Feb 4, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pisa SC win on 2026-01-16?$6.30Feb 4, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pisa SC win on 2026-01-16?$5.29Jan 13, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austin FC win on 2025-11-02?$5.00Jan 13, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-11-03?$5.00Jan 13, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austin FC win on 2025-11-02?$3.85Nov 2, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-11-03?$3.05Nov 2, 06:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 18:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 06:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.