Unfinished-Depot
0x0ce635140e439e5cbdb6ddc9ca5c23fe785f311e
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$124.05
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
66666 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-66.67
- NO
Will Iran strike Qatar in March?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Iran strike UAE in March?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Opinion launch a token on March 7?
6000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-54.00
- NO
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?
5380 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-163.39
- YES
Will "War Machine" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
2500 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-53.98
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
1750 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-164.49
- NO
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?
1700 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-102.00
- YES
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?
1499 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-168.43
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.24Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?$51.09Jun 20, 20:32 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.15Jun 19, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?$51.32Jun 18, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Africa win on 2026-06-18?$0.33Jun 18, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$160.48Jun 18, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-18?$20.54Jun 18, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$51.09Jun 18, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?$51.03Jun 17, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?$51.20Jun 17, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?$51.35Jun 17, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$51.13Jun 17, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-17?$51.24Jun 17, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$20.49Jun 17, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$71.43Jun 16, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$90.91Jun 16, 02:07 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.06Jun 16, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$20.47Jun 15, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$20.43Jun 15, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$20.49Jun 15, 18:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $29.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 11:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.