Deficient-Curd
0x0cef505eb18a8fda1e946bef93bec39f292fbe97
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-192.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Santa deliver more than 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
1700 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-6.10
- YES
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?
422 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-63.30
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win 3rd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
217 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will André Ventura win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
189 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.88
- NO
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?
130 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-33.28
- YES
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?
100 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
82 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.22
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?
60 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.20
- YES
Hertha BSC vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to Score
40 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-17.09
- YES
Will A Friend of Dorothy win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
11 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$4.40Feb 2, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$14.82Feb 1, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$89.44Feb 1, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Friend of Dorothy win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.44Jan 27, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "One Battle After Another" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?$63.30Jan 23, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$228.95Jan 19, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.66Jan 18, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win 3rd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.95Jan 18, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$131.10Jan 18, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 50%?$15.96Jan 18, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 50%?$1.58Jan 18, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 50%?$19.14Jan 18, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYHertha BSC vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to Score$16.34Jan 17, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYHertha BSC vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to Score$0.75Jan 17, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?$10.20Jan 17, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$70.07Jan 17, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$4.05Jan 16, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$18.36Jan 16, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.03Jan 16, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.33Jan 15, 01:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $20.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 01:33 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 14:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.