Valid-Nightgown
0x0cfd5c03f37f8d48c1c26a76934448d224faca0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$17.24
Total PnL
$1.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.24
$7.24
- YES
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$0.00Mar 15, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 9 be between 80 and 90?$0.00Mar 15, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$0.00Mar 15, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$22.57Mar 9, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$5.00Mar 9, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$8.00Mar 9, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$9.27Mar 9, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$5.00Mar 9, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$1.00Mar 9, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$1.00Mar 9, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 9 be between 80 and 90?$1.00Mar 9, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 9, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VIX close above 50 by June 30?$10.00Mar 9, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?$5.00Mar 9, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.44Mar 6, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$5.00Mar 6, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Mar 6, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$0.00Mar 6, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$31.81Mar 6, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$15.00Mar 6, 21:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $7.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 20:03 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 06:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.