Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-52.48

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 28

NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 December 15-21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
YES
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
393 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
NO
Will Trump say "Pharmaceutical" or "Pharmaceuticals" during the announcement on December 19?
204 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
NO
Will Trump say "Favored Nations" during the announcement on December 19?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
NO
Will Trump say "Biden or "Obama" during the announcement on December 19?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
NO
Will Trump say "Percent" 8+ times during the announcement on December 19?
138 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
NO
Will Trump say "Drug" 3+ times during the announcement on December 19?
138 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
NO
Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Venezuela" during the announcement on December 19?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
NO
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the announcement on December 19?
114 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
NO
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the announcement on December 19?
105 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00

Recent activity

TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$0.05May 9, 21:24 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$0.01May 9, 21:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.06May 9, 21:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.06May 9, 21:18 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.03May 9, 21:17 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.25May 9, 21:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.04May 9, 21:16 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.40May 9, 21:14 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.06May 9, 21:13 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$3.54May 9, 21:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$2.04May 9, 20:59 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.89May 9, 20:58 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.03May 9, 19:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$10.33May 9, 19:30 UTC
TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$11.52May 9, 19:26 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Mar 8, 00:26 UTC
TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Mar 8, 00:26 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.00Mar 8, 00:25 UTC
TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.00Mar 8, 00:25 UTC
TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$3.00Feb 3, 10:22 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry11 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk47 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 45
Avg trade size: $5.78
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 20, 09:02 UTC
Last active: May 9, 21:24 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 00:08:02 UTC·src:Polymarket Data