Noteworthy-Sentence
0x0d053319e3888f2112136b2d46cea80612fe0960
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$12.12
Total PnL
$-17.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in August?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2025$2.08
$1.08
- YES
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$1.96
$0.96
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.32
$0.32
- NO
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?
1 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Xi Jinping out before October?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
2025 August third hottest on record?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$1.00
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on August 29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$12.43Sep 1, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast raise 40m on Sunday August 31?$1.47Sep 1, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise 40m on Sunday August 31?$1.00Aug 30, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?$1.00Aug 30, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$1.00Aug 30, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in August?$1.00Aug 30, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.00Aug 30, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?$1.00Aug 30, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$1.00Aug 29, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUY2025 August third hottest on record?$1.00Aug 29, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTea App removed from App Store by August 31?$1.00Aug 29, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Aug 29, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$1.00Aug 29, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-30?$1.00Aug 29, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on August 29?$1.00Aug 29, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Aug 29, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$1.00Aug 29, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before October?$1.00Aug 29, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.00Aug 29, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$1.00Aug 29, 11:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 29, 11:52 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 1, 16:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.