0x0d05b729b369f742a3b47b1312de4424ad396a81
0x0d05b729b369f742a3b47b1312de4424ad396a81
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$573.67
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$-127.59
Win rate
53%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
134295 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$201.44
$-2.7K
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
7000 shares @ 8.2¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$164.50
$-406.37
- YES
Iran leadership change by July 31?
24067 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$60.17
$-471.64
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?
8019 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$36.08
$-116.25
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?
16066 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$32.13
$-61.29
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?
2000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$22.00
$-2.00
- YES
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?
1532 shares @ 9.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$21.45
$-116.58
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?
13941 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$13.94
$-114.26
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?
23321 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$11.66
$-465.35
- YES
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?
524 shares @ 5.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.44
$-19.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$3.12Jul 30, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$0.82Jul 30, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?$4.92Jul 30, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$0.38Jul 30, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$0.05Jul 30, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$11.26Jul 30, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$1.15Jul 30, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$0.04Jul 30, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$1.53Jul 30, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$0.68Jul 30, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$3.96Jul 30, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by July 31?$9.76Jul 30, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by July 31?$0.01Jul 30, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by July 31?$12.00Jul 30, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by July 31?$0.05Jul 30, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by July 31?$7.52Jul 30, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by July 31?$0.06Jul 30, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?$24.00Jul 30, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by July 31?$0.30Jul 30, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by July 31?$0.18Jul 30, 04:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
53% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 09:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 15:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.