Plump-Talk
0x0d05b729b369f742a3b47b1312de4424ad396a81
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$4.7K
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$-2.7K
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
353119 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.0K
$303.68
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
23365 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$514.04
$-138.70
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
12145 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$340.05
$-392.07
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
17032 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$255.48
$84.67
- NO
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
20000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$160.00
$-244.64
- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
5196 shares @ 4.4¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$153.28
$-74.32
- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
8683 shares @ 3.2¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$117.21
$-162.49
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
1608 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$72.34
$-24.11
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
2383 shares @ 3.2¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$69.11
$-7.58
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
2104 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.30
$-2.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?$85.05Jun 14, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 13?$0.50Jun 14, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?$81.34Jun 14, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$76.69Jun 14, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$138.00Jun 14, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$0.20Jun 14, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$2.00Jun 14, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLKurds declare independence from Iran?$20.00Jun 14, 00:52 UTC
- TRADESELLKurds declare independence from Iran?$2.00Jun 14, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 13?$6.00Jun 14, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?$6.23Jun 13, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$151.70Jun 13, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$8.30Jun 13, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 13?$5.30Jun 13, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$104.22Jun 13, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$90.13Jun 13, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?$2.35Jun 13, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$100.00Jun 13, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$48.30Jun 13, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$4.16Jun 13, 22:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $58.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 19:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.