Alarmed-Hybridisation
0x0d1436519a8ba4cf9b5244d0337258e767ffc06d
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$19.00
Total PnL
$-39.7K
Realised
$-2.2K
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-01-10?
19 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$19.00
$15.96
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
1809170 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.4K
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
452027 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?
83856 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-167.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 10AM ET
50940 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-8.2K
- YES
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-11?
40481 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
32967 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 10AM ET
17543 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-273.91
- YES
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-01-11?
6244 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will FC Metz win on 2025-12-13?
3474 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-98.43
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$34.02Jan 12, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$12.60Jan 11, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.08Jan 11, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$2.63Jan 11, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$34.16Jan 11, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.11Jan 11, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.53Jan 11, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.05Jan 11, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$3.16Jan 11, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$5.50Jan 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$5.50Jan 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$7.82Jan 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$5.50Jan 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$338.46Jan 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.66Jan 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.44Jan 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.30Jan 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.30Jan 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.30Jan 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.30Jan 11, 16:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $33.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 16:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 00:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".