Lighthearted-Progress
0x0d1e6e29f8d9180a8ee73333c43ebebbe502407a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-415.93
Realised
$42.72
Win rate
94%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on December 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 19?
835 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 16?
533 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 18?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on December 20?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 19?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 16?
334 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 20?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22?
195 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$0.00May 1, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$1.05May 1, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$0.00May 1, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$1.05May 1, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.00May 1, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$1.06May 1, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.88May 1, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.06May 1, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.51May 1, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.05May 1, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$1.07May 1, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$1.06May 1, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$2.34May 1, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.06May 1, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.05May 1, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$1.06Apr 28, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?$1.07Apr 28, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.07Apr 28, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$1.06Apr 28, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 03:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 14:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 17:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".