Tangible-Dedication
0x0d25d69ddfb19e425acd7f6f33fee29d33b26e45
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$33.13
Total PnL
$-504.60
Realised
$176.34
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
2454 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$33.13
$-13.85
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 26?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 18?
1310 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-24.15
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
700 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-24.50
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
691 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-101.00
- YES
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?
510 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 27?
500 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
450 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-103.87
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 28?
400 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.91
- FRANCE
France vs. England: Team to Win
343 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$4.80Jul 20, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$2.26Jul 20, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.21Jul 20, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.45Jul 20, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$2.25Jul 20, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$3.18Jul 20, 02:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$10.42Jul 19, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.94Jul 19, 19:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-18?$30.11Jul 18, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: Team to Win$136.76Jul 18, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$10.48Jul 18, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$10.49Jul 18, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$3.07Jul 18, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$30.66Jul 18, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$10.22Jul 18, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.03Jul 18, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.82Jul 18, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$20.73Jul 18, 12:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $14.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 02:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.