Parched-Color
0x0d2ea4f8d00f92e280b107e3c87f9dc9b05cf1a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$90.5K
Total PnL
$-584.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
75101 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$60.0K
$22.5K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
75101 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.1K
$-22.5K
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 29?
5177 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$5.2K
$2.59
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on July 28?
4144 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$4.1K
$2.07
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?
1216 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.2K
$0.61
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 28?
828 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$827.49
$0.41
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 102-103°F on July 28?
827 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$826.67
$0.41
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 28?
811 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$810.17
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 28?
799 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$798.30
$0.40
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 76.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$525.00
$-235.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?$50.24Jul 29, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 29?$5.0KJul 29, 01:45 UTC
- YIELD$6.74Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?$999.00Jul 29, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?$34.50Jul 28, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 29?$12.20Jul 28, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 39°C on July 30?$414.34Jul 28, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 40°C or higher on July 30?$314.43Jul 28, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?$15.04Jul 28, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 102-103°F on July 28?$826.29Jul 28, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?$116.00Jul 28, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 29?$164.50Jul 28, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 28?$827.11Jul 28, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 28?$341.08Jul 28, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 28?$797.94Jul 28, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 28?$810.21Jul 28, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on July 28?$4.1KJul 28, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on July 27?$190.00Jul 28, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 82°F or higher on July 27?$195.00Jul 28, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 27?$694.16Jul 28, 02:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$36.6K
Trades
2
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 19, 09:50 UTC → Jul 1, 09:12 UTC
- BUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 29?$7.7K@100¢Jun 29, 21:44 UTC
- BUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on June 25?$6.5K@100¢Jun 25, 06:17 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$7.7K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
5 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 19?
$9.2K · 25% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 07:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 02:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.