Austere-Carrot
0x0d3c14891d0a266c18b28becfd12a143ce291994
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on August 31?
270 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
235 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?
168 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?
62 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?
19 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?$1.00Aug 19, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?$1.00Aug 19, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? $1.00Aug 15, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more? $1.00Aug 15, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Aug 15, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$1.00Aug 15, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$1.00Aug 15, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model on August 31?$1.00Aug 15, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?$1.00Aug 15, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?$2.00Aug 15, 13:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 13:36 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 11:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".