Perfumed-Confirmation
0x0d45bdb214e17c6306d2972395acc5154c9db69f
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$23.50
Total PnL
$-177.22
Realised
$51.15
Win rate
89%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
300 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.45
$-32.55
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 52.5¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.05
$-0.20
- YES
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
1632 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.11
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
700 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
500 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 45.0% on June 6?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Solana above $180 on July 25?
333 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-4.33
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.80Apr 14, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.16Apr 12, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill voter turnout be 65–68% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.36Apr 12, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.45Apr 7, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.03Apr 7, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 65–68% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.11Apr 7, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.18Apr 7, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$0.08Apr 5, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$0.28Apr 5, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$0.04Apr 5, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$0.14Apr 5, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$0.04Apr 5, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$0.09Apr 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$0.04Apr 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$51.00Jan 10, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$29.26Jan 5, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.04Jan 5, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.04Jan 5, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$8.30Jan 5, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$8.30Jan 5, 10:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $10.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 05:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 15:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.