Polite-Walk
0x0d48885222168a958bbc365765430ced104fe34d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-192.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10PM ET
569 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 21?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 16-22?
377 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?
332 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?
237 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 September 22-28?
227 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Solana dip to $220 September 15-21?
196 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 21?
172 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 September 22-28?
156 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $108,000 September 22-28?$14.00Sep 24, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $118,000 September 22-28?$10.00Sep 24, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 September 22-28?$5.00Sep 24, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $122,000 September 22-28?$5.00Sep 24, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $104,000 September 22-28?$5.00Sep 24, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $106,000 September 22-28?$5.00Sep 24, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 24?$5.00Sep 24, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$48.69Sep 24, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$25.00Sep 24, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$3.00Sep 24, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$20.00Sep 24, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8AM ET$20.00Sep 22, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $4,300 September 15-21?$90.81Sep 22, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?$6.00Sep 22, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?$9.00Sep 21, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11AM ET$20.00Sep 21, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 16-22?$5.00Sep 21, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10PM ET$5.00Sep 21, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10PM ET$5.00Sep 21, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5PM ET$5.00Sep 20, 21:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $10.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 20, 19:08 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 24, 12:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".