Bumpy-Kill
0x0d489861499081a10c62cd634df097e9de260253
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$48.22
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-29.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
276 shares @ 21.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$48.22
$-9.64
- YES
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
20627 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-626.50
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
11667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-39.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 7PM ET
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 1?
3803 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-54.84
- YES
Will Jara win by at least 5%?
3617 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 2?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Jara win by less than 5%?
2741 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
2105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 1?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$59.70Jun 1, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$15.38May 30, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$25.60May 30, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$49.68May 30, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$51.18May 30, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$62.31May 30, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$6.00Mar 12, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom be accused of insider trading?$1.00Feb 26, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$2.00Feb 5, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.00Feb 5, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.00Feb 5, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.00Feb 5, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$40.00Jan 29, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 29, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 29, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 9, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$13.00Jan 9, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$40.00Dec 31, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$32.28Dec 31, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Dec 31, 22:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $31.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 21:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 11:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".