Scrawny-Chance
0x0d5de978803e4e51ec61afc5587c568c6bf54179
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$5.04
Total PnL
$-18.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
57 shares @ 11.6¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.04
$-1.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
13632 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-6.8K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
4100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
2437 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2261 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2261 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
2060 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
2060 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2060 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2060 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.61Mar 14, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?$17.33Feb 2, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.06Feb 2, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$172.00Feb 2, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by January 31?$24.00Jan 16, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?$58.24Jan 10, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by January 31?$23.98Jan 10, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$72.24Jan 10, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 104.5 billion views by December 31? $5.03Jan 7, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 104.5 billion views by December 31? $5.00Dec 16, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?$1.05Dec 16, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$2.50Dec 9, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?$2.50Dec 9, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?$2.50Dec 4, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?$1.00Nov 26, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$98.50Nov 10, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$1.05Nov 4, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$4.20Nov 4, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$48.25Nov 4, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $510.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 09:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 03:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".