Good-Natured-Impairment
0x0d5e1a047bf273f7eaf4434968d5911790f2e8d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$7.64
Total PnL
$-5.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?
2 shares @ 84.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.37
$0.37
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 92.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?
17 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by October 31?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Toretske by January 31?$1.00Jan 25, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?$1.00Jan 25, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 25, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Toretske by January 31?$1.00Jan 25, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 25, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?$1.00Jan 25, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.01Jan 25, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.01Jan 25, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.02Jan 25, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.02Jan 25, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025$1.03Jan 25, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by November 30?$1.05Jan 25, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.06Jan 25, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.12Jan 25, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$1.54Jan 25, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?$1.67Jan 25, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$3.14Jan 25, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$5.14Jan 25, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?$1.00Nov 1, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Nov 1, 08:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 07:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 09:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.