0x0d61725a10de8eedb8e28bc074e38ddbda4fffe8
0x0d61725a10de8eedb8e28bc074e38ddbda4fffe8
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.45
Total PnL
$-770.36
Realised
$-77.74
Win rate
11%
37 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- OVER
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 2.5
21 shares @ 29.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$4.45
$-1.55
- FRANCO AGAMENONE
Cordenons: Franco Agamenone vs Alex Barrena
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2509 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
2357 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
1225 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- SWITZERLAND
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Take First Corner
1158 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-17.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 18?
862 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
723 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 24?$1.29Jul 24, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 22?$0.51Jul 22, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 22?$2.70Jul 22, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 21?$5.58Jul 21, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$2.64Jul 21, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$2.67Jul 21, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$2.63Jul 21, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 20?$7.34Jul 21, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$2.02Jul 21, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$2.67Jul 21, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 21?$4.85Jul 21, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$2.59Jul 20, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 20?$1.87Jul 20, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 20?$2.67Jul 20, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on July 20?$0.74Jul 20, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 20?$5.14Jul 20, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 21?$2.37Jul 20, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.24Jul 20, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 21?$4.13Jul 20, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 20?$0.82Jul 20, 13:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 37 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
37 closed markets, 11% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 23:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 37 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.